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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Telstar

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ADO 20 Heemskerk play Telstar in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, ADO 20 Heemskerk averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Telstar averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, ADO 20 Heemskerk won 0, Telstar won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2025 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for ADO 20 Heemskerk and 1.13 for Telstar. This points to a ADO 20 Heemskerk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
26%
Draws
34%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: ADO 20 Heemskerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk picked up more points recently compared to Telstar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 21%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Telstar
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Telstar
1:6
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Telstar vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
0:0
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Telstar vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADO 20 Heemskerk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagedoorn S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koswal D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 40 / 100
Telstar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Telstar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ADO 20 Heemskerk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ADO 20 Heemskerk attacking → ← attacking Telstar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Telstar let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Telstar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 36
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38