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ADR Jicaral vs Dep. Upala

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 Cancha de la Asociación Civica, Jicaral
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Salas I.
40' Event
Nunez J.
41' Event
Arrieta J.

AI Match Summary

ADR Jicaral in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADR Jicaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ADR Jicaral
20%
Draws
0%
Dep. Upala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ADR Jicaral lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Upala.
  • Win probability leans ADR Jicaral's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ADR Jicaral have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Upala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADR Jicaral Dep. Upala
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 18 2
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.77 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs ADR Jicaral
0:3
Feb 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Dep. Upala
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Dep. Upala
5:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs ADR Jicaral
1:2
Mar 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs ADR Jicaral
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrieta J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Dep. Upala Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimpinati D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADR Jicaral 85 / 100
Dep. Upala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADR Jicaral Dep. Upala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ADR Jicaral scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Dep. Upala conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

ADR Jicaral has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ADR Jicaral VS Dep. Upala
1.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ADR Jicaral

(Home)
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
17 Aug
Cofutpa
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
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Dep. Upala

(Away)
12 Apr
Dep. Upala
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
21 Mar
AD Sarchi
3 : 1
Dep. Upala
15 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Quepos FC
12 Mar
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Dep. Upala
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter San Carlos 14 9 3 2 22:12 30
2 ADR Jicaral 14 7 5 2 23:11 26
3 Quepos FC 14 5 5 4 18:17 20
4 Cofutpa 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
5 AD Sarchi 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Dep. Upala 14 4 4 6 22:23 16
7 Santa Cruz 14 3 4 7 10:20 13
8 Grecia 14 3 2 9 22:31 11
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 9 4 1 31:18 31
2 FC Moravia 14 7 4 3 25:18 25
3 Cariari Pococi 14 4 6 4 25:18 18
4 Carmelita 14 4 6 4 14:14 18
5 Santa Ana 14 4 6 4 16:17 18
6 CS Uruguay 14 3 5 6 15:24 14
7 Pitbulls 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
8 Aserri 14 3 3 8 11:23 12
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)