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Adra vs Mancha

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Adra Logo

Adra

0 - 2
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Mancha Logo

Mancha

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between Adra and Mancha finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mancha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adra
20%
Draws
80%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mancha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mancha come out ahead of Adra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mancha a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Adra Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adra Mancha
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 28 14
Goals Scored 0.3 0.94
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Adra
3:0
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Mancha
0:2
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Adra
0:0
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Mancha
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adra 10 / 100
Mancha 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adra Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mancha conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Adra scored in 23% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Mancha has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mancha
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adra

(Home)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
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Mancha

(Away)
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2
Mancha
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1
Huetor Vega
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)