Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adrar vs WA Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Adrar and WA Mostaganem finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Adrar
20%
Draws
64%
WA Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: WA Mostaganem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and WA Mostaganem come out ahead of Adrar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans WA Mostaganem's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Adrar Clean Sheet 10%
WA Mostaganem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adrar WA Mostaganem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Adrar vs WA Mostaganem
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs Adrar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrar 26 / 100
WA Mostaganem 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adrar WA Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WA Mostaganem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WA Mostaganem let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Difficult form: WA Mostaganem registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Adrar scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Adrar VS WA Mostaganem
1 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adrar

(Home)
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
Tixeraine
2 : 2
Adrar
25 Apr
Adrar
1 : 4
JSM Tiaret
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0
Adrar
10 Apr
Adrar
1 : 3
Hussein Dey
Page 1 of 6

WA Mostaganem

(Away)
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Saida
2 : 2
WA Mostaganem
08 May
Harrach
3 : 0
WA Mostaganem
01 May
WA Mostaganem
1 : 2
Saida
25 Apr
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
ASM Oran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biskra 30 19 5 6 41:16 62
2 CA Batna 30 18 6 6 40:18 60
3 US Chaouia 30 18 6 6 55:22 60
4 MO Bejaia 30 17 9 4 44:18 60
5 JS Djijel 30 14 9 7 41:28 51
6 Annaba 30 14 6 10 35:21 48
7 Magra 30 10 9 11 29:30 39
8 Beni Thour 30 10 7 13 27:39 37
9 MSP Batna 30 9 9 12 32:36 36
10 Telaghema 30 9 9 12 32:37 36
11 Beni Oulbane 30 9 9 12 28:34 36
12 MO Constantine 30 9 9 12 25:33 36
13 Bordj Menail 30 9 8 13 34:31 35
14 Khroub 30 9 9 12 31:31 35
15 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 5 7 18 27:51 22
16 Chelghoum 30 1 3 26 13:89 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS El Biar 30 24 4 2 53:17 76
2 Harrach 30 18 8 4 46:19 62
3 CR Temouchent 30 17 8 5 38:23 59
4 RC Kouba 30 17 8 5 33:14 59
5 ASM Oran 30 18 4 8 38:19 58
6 Hussein Dey 30 11 10 9 34:24 43
7 Tlemcen 30 11 7 12 28:32 40
8 JSM Tiaret 30 11 6 13 35:31 39
9 Kolea 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
10 WA Mostaganem 30 9 8 13 32:39 35
11 Saida 30 9 7 14 26:29 34
12 GC Mascara 30 8 7 15 28:36 31
13 Arba 30 9 5 16 24:41 29
14 Tixeraine 30 7 5 18 30:46 26
15 Adrar 30 5 5 20 26:64 20
16 Bechar Djedid 30 4 5 21 29:58 17
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)