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Adrense vs OltrepoVoghera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adrense in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Adrense
20%
Draws
7%
OltrepoVoghera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Adrense have won more games recently than OltrepoVoghera.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Adrense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Adrense Clean Sheet 20%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adrense OltrepoVoghera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.43 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Adrense vs OltrepoVoghera
4:1
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Adrense
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrense 85 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adrense OltrepoVoghera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Adrense scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: OltrepoVoghera conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Adrense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adrense VS OltrepoVoghera
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adrense

(Home)
05 May
Adrense
4 : 2
Reggiana
28 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2
Adrense
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 0
Adrense
14 Apr
Adrense
2 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Sasso Marconi
0 : 0
Adrense
Page 1 of 6

OltrepoVoghera

(Away)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)