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Adrense vs Pergolettese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between Adrense and Pergolettese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pergolettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Adrense
35%
Draws
27%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Adrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adrense come out ahead of Pergolettese on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Adrense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Adrense Clean Sheet 20%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adrense Pergolettese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Adrense vs Pergolettese
0:2
Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Pergolettese vs Adrense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrense 40 / 100
Pergolettese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adrense Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adrense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Adrense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Pergolettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pergolettese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adrense

(Home)
05 May
Adrense
4 : 2
Reggiana
28 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2
Adrense
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 0
Adrense
14 Apr
Adrense
2 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Sasso Marconi
0 : 0
Adrense
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Pergolettese

(Away)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)