Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adria Miren vs Sobec Lesce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Adria Miren and Sobec Lesce finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adria Miren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Adria Miren
35%
Draws
28%
Sobec Lesce
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Adria Miren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sobec Lesce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Adria Miren a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Adria Miren have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Adria Miren Clean Sheet 18%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adria Miren Sobec Lesce
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Sobec Lesce
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Sobec Lesce
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Adria Miren
0:0
May 11, 2024 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Sobec Lesce
3:0
Oct 28, 2023 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Adria Miren
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adria Miren 40 / 100
Sobec Lesce 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adria Miren Sobec Lesce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adria Miren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adria Miren's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sobec Lesce let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Adria Miren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adria Miren VS Sobec Lesce
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adria Miren

(Home)
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
29 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
3 : 1
Adria Miren
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4
Izola
16 Aug
Ziri
1 : 1
Adria Miren
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Sobec Lesce

(Away)
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
15 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
0 : 0
Sobec Lesce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 5 5 0 0 27:4 15
2 Zidgrad Idrija 5 4 1 0 7:2 13
3 Dob 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
4 Rudar Trbovlje 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Tolmin 5 2 3 0 11:8 9
6 Skofja Loka 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Litija 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
8 Sencur 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
9 Ziri 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
10 Adria Miren 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
11 IB 1975 Ljubljana 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
12 Fama Vipava 5 1 0 4 8:25 3
13 Sobec Lesce 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 5 0 1 4 5:14 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)