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Stadium Background

Adriese vs Legnago Salus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Brandi N.
15' Event
Boschetti A.
17' Event
Menghi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Adriese and Legnago Salus finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legnago Salus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adriese
15%
Draws
85%
Legnago Salus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legnago Salus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legnago Salus come out ahead of Adriese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Legnago Salus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adriese Legnago Salus
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Legnago Salus
1:5
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Adriese
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Legnago Salus
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Adriese
0:0
Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Legnago Salus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gozzerini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Legnago Salus Compare

Top Goalscorer Menghi M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Brandi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adriese 10 / 100
Legnago Salus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adriese Legnago Salus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnago Salus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnago Salus let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Legnago Salus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Adriese found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Adriese VS Legnago Salus
0.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adriese

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
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Legnago Salus

(Away)
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
06 Aug
Legnago Salus
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)