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Adriese vs Ribelle Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Adriese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adriese
35%
Draws
65%
Ribelle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ribelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ribelle haven't matched Adriese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ribelle a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Adriese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ribelle, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Adriese have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Adriese Clean Sheet 12%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adriese Ribelle
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 13
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Adriese vs Ribelle
3:1
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Adriese
1:3
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Adriese vs Ribelle
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adriese 10 / 100
Ribelle 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adriese Ribelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribelle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ribelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Adriese's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Ribelle's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Adriese VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adriese

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
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Ribelle

(Away)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Colligiana 2
Sangiovannese 1
Adriese 3
Ribelle 1