Sport Picks

Ghana

Premier League Agyeman Badu Stadium

Asante Kotoko

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aduana Stars play Asante Kotoko in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aduana Stars averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Asante Kotoko averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Aduana Stars won 1, Asante Kotoko won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Aduana Stars and 1.06 for Asante Kotoko. This points to a Aduana Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Aduana Stars

35%

Draws

32%

Asante Kotoko

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aduana Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Aduana Stars picked up more points recently compared to Asante Kotoko.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 52%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 22%

Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 47%

Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aduana Stars	Asante Kotoko
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	11	8
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	0.83	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.72	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Premier League

Aduana Stars vs Asante Kotoko

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Feb 8, 2026 Ghanaian Cup

Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Nov 16, 2025 Premier League

Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Apr 27, 2025 Premier League

Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Nov 24, 2024 Premier League

Aduana Stars vs Asante Kotoko

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aduana Stars 34 / 100

Asante Kotoko 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aduana Stars Asante Kotoko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aduana Stars or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aduana Stars attacking → ← attacking Asante Kotoko

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aduana Stars scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Asante Kotoko let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Aduana Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Asante Kotoko lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 38

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Medeama	34	17	11	6	52:28	62
2	Bibiani Gold Stars	34	19	3	12	46:40	60
3	Hearts of Oak	34	13	15	6	25:15	54
4	Dreams FC	34	15	7	12	49:32	52
5	Samartex	34	13	11	10	26:25	50
6	Aduana Stars	34	13	11	10	29:24	50
7	Berekum Chelsea	34	14	8	12	35:33	50
8	Asante Kotoko	34	13	10	11	41:29	49
9	Karela	34	13	10	11	32:33	49
10	Bechem United	34	13	8	13	38:39	47
11	Vision	34	12	11	11	38:34	47
12	Holy Stars	34	13	7	14	30:39	46
13	Young Apostles	34	12	9	13	37:37	45
14	Heart of Lions	34	12	9	13	36:33	45
15	Swedru All Blacks	34	12	9	13	34:31	45
16	Nations FC	34	12	8	14	30:31	44
17	Hohoe United	34	7	9	18	22:50	30
18	Eleven Wonders	34	3	4	27	26:73	13