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Aduana Stars vs Karela Prediction & H2H Stats

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Adom P. In: Mohamed Q.
Out: Adom P.
28' Event
Baafada S.
Own Goal
32' Event
Boakye A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Aduana Stars in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aduana Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aduana Stars
15%
Draws
39%
Karela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aduana Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karela lately — more wins on the board than Aduana Stars.
  • Win probability leans Aduana Stars's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Karela Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aduana Stars Karela
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.72 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Karela
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Karela
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Aduana Stars
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Aduana Stars
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Karela
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aduana Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyamfi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Karela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aduana Stars 59 / 100
Karela 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aduana Stars Karela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aduana Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aduana Stars stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Karela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aduana Stars's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aduana Stars VS Karela
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aduana Stars

(Home)
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
24 May
Vision
3 : 0
Aduana Stars
17 May
Aduana Stars
3 : 1
Young Apostles
Page 1 of 6

Karela

(Away)
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Karela
3 : 1
Bechem United
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
24 May
Karela
0 : 1
Nations FC
17 May
Karela
1 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)