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Aduana Stars vs Samartex - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
45'
56'

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Aduana Stars and Samartex finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samartex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aduana Stars
30%
Draws
37%
Samartex
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samartex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samartex come out ahead of Aduana Stars on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aduana Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Samartex Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aduana Stars Samartex
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Samartex
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Samartex
0:0
Oct 6, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Aduana Stars
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Samartex vs Aduana Stars
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Aduana Stars
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aduana Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Samartex Compare

Top Goalscorer Okrah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aduana Stars 36 / 100
Samartex 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aduana Stars Samartex

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aduana Stars has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aduana Stars scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Samartex conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aduana Stars VS Samartex
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aduana Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Swedru All Blacks
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
Page 1 of 6

Samartex

(Away)
04 Oct
Samartex
1 : 0
Young Apostles
27 Sept
Swedru All Blacks
1 : 1
Samartex
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Samartex 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Port City 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4 Aduana Stars 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
5 Holy Stars 5 3 0 2 4:5 9
6 Hearts of Oak 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
7 Heart of Lions 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Asante Kotoko 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
9 Ashanti 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
10 Bechem United 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
11 Karela 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Vision 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
13 Swedru All Blacks 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Debibi United 5 1 1 3 6:6 4
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Berekum Chelsea 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Young Apostles 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
18 Dreams FC 5 0 2 3 5:9 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)