Sport Picks

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Aduana Stars vs Samartex

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aduana Stars host Samartex in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Aduana Stars at 0.83 goals for, 0.72 against; Samartex at 0.73 for, 0.8 against. Past meetings favor Samartex slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.06) back Samartex to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aduana Stars
20%
Draws
44%
Samartex
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samartex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samartex come out ahead of Aduana Stars on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aduana Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Samartex Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aduana Stars Samartex
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Samartex
0:0
Oct 6, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Aduana Stars
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Samartex vs Aduana Stars
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Aduana Stars
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Samartex
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aduana Stars 42 / 100
Samartex 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aduana Stars Samartex

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aduana Stars has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Samartex lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Aduana Stars found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Samartex's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aduana Stars VS Samartex
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aduana Stars

(Home)
24 May
Vision
3 : 0
Aduana Stars
17 May
Aduana Stars
3 : 1
Young Apostles
10 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
06 May
Holy Stars
2 : 0
Aduana Stars
03 May
Aduana Stars
0 : 0
Heart of Lions
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Samartex

(Away)
24 May
Young Apostles
2 : 0
Samartex
17 May
Samartex
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
10 May
Heart of Lions
3 : 0
Samartex
06 May
Bibiani Gold Stars
2 : 0
Samartex
03 May
Samartex
3 : 1
Holy Stars
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asante Kotoko 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hearts of Oak 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Aduana Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Berekum Chelsea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ashanti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Heart of Lions 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Medeama 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bechem United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Dreams FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Samartex 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Vision 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Karela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bibiani Gold Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Debibi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Young Apostles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Holy Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Swedru All Blacks 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Port City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)