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Stadium Background

AE Altos vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2024 Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino, Altos
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Patrick Felipe
47' Event
Dieguinho
90' Event
Anderson Kunzel

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2024 game between AE Altos and River-PI finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AE Altos
35%
Draws
32%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • AE Altos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AE Altos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AE Altos Clean Sheet 68%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AE Altos River-PI
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Piauiense
AE Altos vs River-PI
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Piauiense
River-PI vs AE Altos
0:3
Jul 7, 2024 Serie D
AE Altos vs River-PI
1:2
May 11, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs AE Altos
1:1
Mar 20, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
River-PI vs AE Altos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AE Altos Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson Kunzel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AE Altos 50 / 100
River-PI 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AE Altos River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AE Altos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AE Altos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: River-PI conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

AE Altos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AE Altos VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AE Altos

(Home)
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
21 Jun
AE Altos
0 : 1
ABC
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Ferroviario
3 : 1
AE Altos
Page 1 of 7

River-PI

(Away)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 14 10 4 0 35:7 34
2 Porto Velho 14 9 1 4 29:15 28
3 Princesa do Solimoes 14 7 4 3 23:16 25
4 Manaus FC 14 7 3 4 21:18 24
5 Trem 14 5 3 6 18:22 18
6 Sao Raimundo RR 14 5 1 8 16:24 16
7 Rio Branco AC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
8 SC Humaita 14 0 1 13 7:36 1
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 8 3 3 22:9 27
2 AE Altos 14 7 3 4 22:16 24
3 River-PI 14 5 4 5 20:16 19
4 Tocantinopolis 14 5 4 5 15:19 19
5 Cameta 14 4 4 6 17:17 16
6 Fluminense-PI 14 3 6 5 14:19 15
7 Moto Club 14 3 6 5 17:24 15
8 Aguia De Maraba 14 2 8 4 12:19 14
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 14 9 4 1 28:9 31
2 Iguatu 14 8 3 3 14:8 27
3 America RN 14 7 5 2 18:9 26
4 Atletico Cearense 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
5 Sousa 14 5 3 6 12:14 18
6 Santa Cruz de Natal 14 5 1 8 17:25 16
7 Maracana 14 3 3 8 13:21 12
8 Potiguar de Mossoró 14 1 4 9 7:21 7
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 14 8 2 4 21:11 26
2 Retro 14 8 2 4 21:12 26
3 Jacuipense 14 7 2 5 15:13 23
4 ASA 14 6 3 5 15:13 21
5 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 14 6 3 5 18:17 21
6 Juazeirense 14 6 3 5 13:13 21
7 Petrolina 14 2 4 8 6:19 10
8 Sergipe 14 2 3 9 11:22 9
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 2 2 27:10 32
2 Anapolis 14 7 4 3 18:10 25
3 Mixto 14 5 7 2 18:13 22
4 CRAC 14 5 7 2 13:8 22
5 Ipora 14 5 2 7 16:21 17
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 3 7 4 14:15 16
7 Real Brasilia 14 2 3 9 10:20 9
8 Capital FC 14 2 2 10 10:29 8
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Iguacu 14 9 4 1 19:5 31
2 Portuguesa RJ 14 6 7 1 18:6 25
3 Itabuna 14 6 6 2 16:9 24
4 Real Noroeste 14 5 5 4 16:15 20
5 Serra 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
6 Ipatinga 14 2 5 7 8:18 11
7 Democrata SL 14 2 4 8 8:21 10
8 Audax RJ 14 2 3 9 10:19 9
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maringa FC 14 10 2 2 25:10 32
2 Internacional de Limeira 14 7 3 4 16:7 24
3 Agua Santa 14 6 4 4 12:10 22
4 Costa Rica 14 6 3 5 16:17 21
5 Santo Andre 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
6 Pouso Alegre 14 3 5 6 11:9 14
7 Sao Jose EC 14 2 8 4 13:16 14
8 Patrocinense 14 1 2 11 6:32 5
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 14 6 4 4 14:12 22
2 Brasil de Pelotas 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
3 Avenida 14 5 4 5 14:19 19
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 4 6 4 14:15 18
5 Hercilio Luz 14 3 9 2 11:10 18
6 Concordia 14 4 5 5 13:12 17
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 3 7 4 15:12 16
8 FC Cascavel 14 3 6 5 8:12 15
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)