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AE Iraklis Larissa vs AO Trikala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 game between AE Iraklis Larissa and AO Trikala finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AO Trikala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
AE Iraklis Larissa
20%
Draws
70%
AO Trikala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AO Trikala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • AO Trikala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
AE Iraklis Larissa Clean Sheet 16%
AO Trikala Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AE Iraklis Larissa AO Trikala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
AE Iraklis Larissa vs AO Trikala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AE Iraklis Larissa 36 / 100
AO Trikala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AE Iraklis Larissa AO Trikala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Trikala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AE Iraklis Larissa scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

AO Trikala let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AE Iraklis Larissa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AE Iraklis Larissa VS AO Trikala
0.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AE Iraklis Larissa

(Home)
04 Oct
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 1
AO Trikala
26 Sept
Pierikos
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
17 Jun
Veria
3 : 0
AE Iraklis Larissa
10 Jun
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 0
Makedonikos Neapolis
03 Jun
Panathinaikos B
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
Page 1 of 6

AO Trikala

(Away)
04 Oct
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 1
AO Trikala
26 Sept
Feraios
0 : 1
AO Trikala
11 Aug
AO Trikala
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
08 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Lamia
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Trikala 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Anthoupoli 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Ermis Exochis 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Elassona 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Karitsa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Sarakinos Volos 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Pierikos 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Ethnikos Neou 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Feraios 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
10 Digenis Neochori 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
11 AE Iraklis Larissa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Losers stage)