Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Santos Lemos H.
AI Match Summary
Monte Azul in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Azul
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- AEA Aracatuba haven't matched Monte Azul's recent run of results.
- Model gives Monte Azul a 85% chance of winning this.
- Monte Azul arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monte Azul, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 15%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEA Aracatuba | Monte Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 23, 2025 Copa Paulista
AEA Aracatuba vs Monte Azul
0:1
Jun 18, 2025 Copa Paulista
Monte Azul vs AEA Aracatuba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEA Aracatuba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Monte Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos Lemos H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
Monte Azul 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEA Aracatuba Monte Azul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monte Azul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Monte Azul conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Monte Azul's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
AEA Aracatuba found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
AEA Aracatuba VS Monte Azul
0.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
AEA Aracatuba
(Home) 04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3 Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0 AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4 Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0 AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3 Nacional SP
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3 Jabaquara
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4 Vocem
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3 Nacional SP
14 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 0 Comercial
28 Feb
AEA Aracatuba
1 : 3 Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 3
Monte Azul
(Away) 07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3 Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2 Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1 Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3 Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Monte Azul
Page 1 of 6
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3 Monte Azul
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Monte Azul
14 Feb
Taubate
3 : 3 Monte Azul
11 Feb
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Monte Azul
02 Feb
Piracicaba
2 : 0 Monte Azul
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
