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AEA Aracatuba vs Piracicaba Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lucas Bala

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with AEA Aracatuba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AEA Aracatuba
20%
Draws
80%
Piracicaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piracicaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Piracicaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Piracicaba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Piracicaba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AEA Aracatuba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 20%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEA Aracatuba Piracicaba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs AEA Aracatuba
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Paulista
AEA Aracatuba vs Piracicaba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Bala
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Piracicaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
Piracicaba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEA Aracatuba Piracicaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Piracicaba conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

AEA Aracatuba found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Piracicaba's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piracicaba
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEA Aracatuba

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 6

Piracicaba

(Away)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Piracicaba 2
AEA Aracatuba 1
Portuguesa Santista 1
Osasco Sporting 2
Sao Jose EC 3
Sao Bento 2
Comercial 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Uniao Sao Joao 3
Noroeste 1
Primavera EC 2
Paulista 1
Gremio Prudente 2
Sao Caetano 0
Monte Azul 2
Francana 3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba 3
Osasco Sporting 0
Sao Jose EC 0
Comercial 2
Uniao Sao Joao 0
Primavera EC 6
Gremio Prudente 4
Francana 1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba 2
Comercial 1
Primavera EC 3
Gremio Prudente 2
Final
Piracicaba 2
Primavera EC 1