Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 game between AEA Aracatuba and Sao Caetano finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Caetano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sao Caetano carry the better recent record into this one.
- 0% — that's where the model lands on AEA Aracatuba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEA Aracatuba | Sao Caetano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEA Aracatuba Compare
Sao Caetano Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Sao Caetano lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: AEA Aracatuba scored in 47% of their last 34 outings.
Sao Caetano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AEA Aracatuba
(Home)Sao Caetano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 21:6 | 33 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 22:10 | 29 |
| 4 | Sao-Carlense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Barretos EC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 12:10 | 26 |
| 6 | Taquaritinga | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Jacarei FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 11:9 | 23 |
| 8 | Lemense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 22 |
| 9 | ECUS SP | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11:6 | 22 |
| 10 | Comercial | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 11 | Tanabi | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Vocem | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7:22 | 8 |
| 16 | AEA Aracatuba | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6:37 | 5 |