Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs KFS

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2022
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Dabetic S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Aegir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aegir
15%
Draws
85%
KFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Aegir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Aegir taking it.
  • Aegir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aegir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aegir Clean Sheet 15%
KFS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir KFS
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 2 0
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.62 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.41 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Aegir vs KFS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 84 / 100
KFS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir KFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aegir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFS let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Aegir found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

KFS lost 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Aegir
Page 1 of 8

KFS

(Away)
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0
KFS
21 Mar
KFS
:
Thorlakur
15 Jul
Grotta
3 : 0
KFS
29 Mar
Kari
7 : 1
KFS
06 Apr
KV Reykjavik
3 : 0
KFS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KFK Kopavogur 0
Throttur 1
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Grotta 8
KH Hlidarendi 0
Hafnir 0
KM Reykjavik 1
Volsungur -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 3
Samherjar 6
Sindri 6
Spyrnir 0
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 1
KFR 0
Isbjorninn 1
Selfoss 9
Tindastoll 0
Fjallabyggd 4
TBD -
Magni -
KA Asvellir 4
KB Breidholt 0
Haukar 4
Lettir 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Fjolnir 1
KFG Gardabaer 4
Augnablik 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stokkseyri 0
Hviti 11
RB Keflavik 10
Gullfalkinn 4
Kordrengir 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Alftanes 5
Vestri -
TBD -
Vidir 6
SR Reykjavik 0
Afturelding 5
Ymir 0
Vaengirs 7
Alafoss 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kari 3
Arborg 0
Berserkir / Midas 0
Olafsvik 6
GG Grindavik 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 6
Reynir Hellissandur 5
Skallagrimur 1
Throttur Vogar 0
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kria 5
IBU 8
Reynir 6
Arbaer 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Boltafelag Nordfjardar 0
Einherji 2
KFB 0
Aegir 15
Smari 2
KFS 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Ulfarnir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
Throttur 0
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Dalvik/Reynir 5
Thor Akureyri 7
Samherjar 0
Sindri 2
KFA 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 0
Selfoss 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 2
KA Asvellir 0
Haukar 5
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
KFG Gardabaer 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Hviti 6
RB Keflavik 0
Kordrengir 5
Alftanes 0
Vestri 2
Vidir 0
Afturelding 3
Vaengirs 1
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Kari 2
Olafsvik 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 3
Reynir Hellissandur 0
IR Reykjavik 16
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 0
Reynir 4
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn 3
Einherji 2
Aegir 1
KFS 0
Fylkir 5
Ulfarnir 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Sindri 3
Akranes 5
Breidablik 6
Valur 2
Selfoss 2
Magni 1
Haukar 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 7
Keflavik 1
Njardvik 4
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Hviti 0
Kordrengir 2
Vestri 2
Afturelding 3
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IR Reykjavik 2
KA Akureyri 4
Reynir 1
Fram 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Hottur / Huginn 1
Aegir 3
Fylkir 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Akranes 2
Breidablik 3
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Njardvik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Kordrengir 2
Afturelding 1
Hafnarfjordur 6
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri 4
Fram 1
Aegir 1
Fylkir 0
Quarter-finals
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
KR Reykjavik 3
Kordrengir 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
KA Akureyri 3
Aegir 0
Semi-finals
Breidablik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2