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Aegir vs Kopavogur Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gateau B.
14' Event
Karlsson K.
Assist: Thordarson S.
21' Event
Radic D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and Kopavogur finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kopavogur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Aegir
20%
Draws
70%
Kopavogur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kopavogur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kopavogur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kopavogur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Kopavogur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Kopavogur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Kopavogur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.3 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Kopavogur
3:4
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 League Cup
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:1
Sep 5, 2013 Division 2
Aegir vs Kopavogur
4:2
Jul 2, 2013 Division 2
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeyemo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gateau B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kopavogur Compare

Top Goalscorer Radic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Kopavogur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Kopavogur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kopavogur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopavogur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aegir's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aegir has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Kopavogur
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Kopavogur

(Away)
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3
Kopavogur
22 Aug
Kopavogur
3 : 0
Throttur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)