Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs Kopavogur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gateau B.
14' Event
Karlsson K.
Assist: Thordarson S.
21' Event
Radic D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and Kopavogur finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kopavogur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aegir
6%
Draws
90%
Kopavogur
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kopavogur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kopavogur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kopavogur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Kopavogur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Kopavogur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Kopavogur
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Kopavogur
3:4
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 League Cup
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:1
Sep 5, 2013 Division 2
Aegir vs Kopavogur
4:2
Jul 2, 2013 Division 2
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeyemo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gateau B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kopavogur Compare

Top Goalscorer Radic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Kopavogur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Kopavogur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopavogur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aegir's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aegir has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Kopavogur
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1
Aegir
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4
Kopavogur
03 Jul
Aegir
2 : 4
Fylkir
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1
Aegir
26 Jun
Grindavik
0 : 0
Aegir
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Kopavogur

(Away)
24 Jul
Njardvik
3 : 2
Kopavogur
20 Jul
Kopavogur
6 : 2
Vestri
14 Jul
Kopavogur
5 : 1
IR Reykjavik
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4
Kopavogur
03 Jul
Grotta
2 : 1
Kopavogur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afturelding14101343:2131
2Throttur1593332:1530
3Fylkir15100532:2230
4Kopavogur1691638:2928
5Njardvik1572623:2123
6Grotta1471629:2822
7Vestri1563626:3121
8Leiknir Reykjavik1554620:2419
9IR Reykjavik1644827:3616
10Grindavik1528515:2014
11Volsungur1525819:3411
12Aegir15221119:428
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)