Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs Kopavogur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gateau B.
14' Event
Karlsson K.
Assist: Thordarson S.
21' Event
Radic D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and Kopavogur finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kopavogur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aegir
15%
Draws
85%
Kopavogur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kopavogur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kopavogur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kopavogur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Kopavogur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Kopavogur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Kopavogur
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.42 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Kopavogur
3:4
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 League Cup
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:1
Sep 5, 2013 Division 2
Aegir vs Kopavogur
4:2
Jul 2, 2013 Division 2
Kopavogur vs Aegir
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeyemo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gateau B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kopavogur Compare

Top Goalscorer Radic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Kopavogur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Kopavogur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kopavogur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopavogur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aegir's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Kopavogur registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Kopavogur
1.25 Goals Scored 3
3.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Aegir
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1
Njardvik
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1
Aegir
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4
Kopavogur
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Kopavogur

(Away)
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
09 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 2
Kopavogur
24 Jul
Njardvik
3 : 2
Kopavogur
20 Jul
Kopavogur
6 : 2
Vestri
14 Jul
Kopavogur
5 : 1
IR Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 17 11 2 4 51:29 35
2 Throttur 18 10 4 4 38:19 34
3 Fylkir 18 11 1 6 38:29 34
4 Njardvik 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
5 Kopavogur 18 10 1 7 42:33 31
6 Grotta 17 8 2 7 34:33 26
7 Vestri 18 7 3 8 28:37 24
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 24:27 22
9 Grindavik 18 4 8 6 19:25 20
10 IR Reykjavik 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
11 Volsungur 18 4 5 9 25:39 17
12 Aegir 18 2 2 14 21:48 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)