Sport Picks
Aegir vs KV Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Icelandic Cup 2025 
Match Events
45'
45'
Gudbjartsson A.
55'
55'
Joninuson B.
61'
61'
Petursson P.
AI Match Summary
KV Reykjavik in this Icelandic Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KV Reykjavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Aegir have won more games recently than KV Reykjavik.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on KV Reykjavik taking it.
- Aegir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KV Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aegir Clean Sheet 15%
KV Reykjavik Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aegir | KV Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 26 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.48 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Aegir vs KV Reykjavik
2:3
Jul 23, 2023 Division 2
KV Reykjavik vs Aegir
0:0
May 6, 2023 Division 2
Aegir vs KV Reykjavik
0:0
Sep 3, 2016 Division 2
Aegir vs KV Reykjavik
1:0
Jul 1, 2016 Division 2
KV Reykjavik vs Aegir
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aegir Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudbjartsson A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Adeyemo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
KV Reykjavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Petursson P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Johansson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aegir 15 / 100
KV Reykjavik 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aegir KV Reykjavik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KV Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KV Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Aegir scored in 73% of their last 40 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Away concern: KV Reykjavik has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aegir VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aegir
(Home) 05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1 Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2 Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7 Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2 Volsungur
Page 1 of 8
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1 Grindavik
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7 Afturelding
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2 Volsungur
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1 Njardvik
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4 Kopavogur
Page 1 of 5
KV Reykjavik
(Away) 26 Mar
Fylkir
6 : 0 KV Reykjavik
20 Mar
KV Reykjavik
5 : 0 KB Breidholt
16 Jul
KV Reykjavik
1 : 2 Hottur / Huginn
05 Apr
KV Reykjavik
1 : 6 Fylkir
29 Mar
Aegir
2 : 3 KV Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6
26 Mar
Fylkir
6 : 0 KV Reykjavik
29 Mar
Aegir
2 : 3 KV Reykjavik
15 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 1 KV Reykjavik
02 Sept
Hottur / Huginn
1 : 0 KV Reykjavik
20 Aug
IR Reykjavik
5 : 1 KV Reykjavik
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1
