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Aegir vs Njardvik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Johannsson V.
44'
Gudbjartsson A.
45'
Fernandes L.

AI Match Summary

Njardvik in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Njardvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Aegir
15%
Draws
73%
Njardvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Njardvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Njardvik have won more games recently than Aegir.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Njardvik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Njardvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Njardvik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Njardvik
0:1
May 23, 2026 Division 1
Njardvik vs Aegir
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Njardvik
1:0
May 11, 2023 Division 1
Njardvik vs Aegir
2:2
Aug 26, 2022 Division 2
Aegir vs Njardvik
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Njardvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannsson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Njardvik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Njardvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Njardvik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aegir scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Njardvik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Njardvik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Njardvik
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Njardvik

(Away)
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Njardvik
4 : 0
Volsungur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)