Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs Njardvik

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Aegir Logo

Aegir

0 - 1
FT
Njardvik Logo

Njardvik

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Johannsson V.
44'
Gudbjartsson A.
45'
Fernandes L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Njardvik in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Njardvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aegir
15%
Draws
85%
Njardvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Njardvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Njardvik have won more games recently than Aegir.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Njardvik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Njardvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Njardvik
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Njardvik
0:1
May 23, 2026 Division 1
Njardvik vs Aegir
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Njardvik
1:0
May 11, 2023 Division 1
Njardvik vs Aegir
2:2
Aug 26, 2022 Division 2
Aegir vs Njardvik
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Njardvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannsson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Njardvik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Njardvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NJA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aegir scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Njardvik has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Njardvik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Njardvik
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1
Njardvik
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1
Aegir
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4
Kopavogur
03 Jul
Aegir
2 : 4
Fylkir
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1
Aegir
Page 1 of 8

Njardvik

(Away)
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1
Njardvik
24 Jul
Njardvik
3 : 2
Kopavogur
17 Jul
Fylkir
4 : 1
Njardvik
10 Jul
Njardvik
5 : 4
Grindavik
03 Jul
Njardvik
1 : 0
Throttur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur 16 10 3 3 36:16 33
2 Fylkir 16 11 0 5 35:23 33
3 Afturelding 15 10 1 4 44:25 31
4 Kopavogur 16 9 1 6 38:29 28
5 Njardvik 16 8 2 6 24:21 26
6 Grotta 15 8 1 6 32:28 25
7 Vestri 16 6 3 7 26:34 21
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 16 5 4 7 20:25 19
9 Grindavik 16 3 8 5 16:20 17
10 IR Reykjavik 16 4 4 8 27:36 16
11 Volsungur 16 2 5 9 20:37 11
12 Aegir 16 2 2 12 19:43 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)