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Aegir vs Reynir

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Smarason B.
45' Event
Joninuson B.
90' Event
Smarason B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2024 game between Aegir and Reynir finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reynir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Aegir
15%
Draws
64%
Reynir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reynir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aegir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Reynir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Reynir
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1.42 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Aegir vs Reynir
2:0
Jul 11, 2024 Division 2
Aegir vs Reynir
1:2
May 4, 2024 Division 2
Reynir vs Aegir
0:3
Apr 2, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Reynir vs Aegir
1:2
Jul 27, 2022 Division 2
Aegir vs Reynir
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Joninuson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Smarason B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Reynir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Reynir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reynir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reynir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aegir scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Reynir registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Reynir
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Reynir

(Away)
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0
Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7
Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1
Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5
Grindavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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