Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs Volsungur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Davidsson D.
Assist: Baldvinsson E.
39'
Gudjonsson S. O.
46'
Sub
Viggosson H. In: Thorbergsson K. A.
Out: Viggosson H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and Volsungur finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volsungur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Aegir
15%
Draws
78%
Volsungur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volsungur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Volsungur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Volsungur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Volsungur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Volsungur
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Volsungur
0:2
May 31, 2026 Division 1
Volsungur vs Aegir
2:3
Aug 25, 2024 Division 2
Aegir vs Volsungur
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Division 2
Volsungur vs Aegir
1:2
Aug 2, 2023 Division 2
Aegir vs Volsungur
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Volsungur Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidsson D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Volsungur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Volsungur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volsungur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volsungur let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Aegir's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Aegir has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Volsungur
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Volsungur

(Away)
05 Sept
Grotta
0 : 2
Volsungur
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
22 Aug
Njardvik
4 : 0
Volsungur
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)