Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League AEK Arena, Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. This one's hard to separate. Beitar Jerusalem have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while AEK Larnaca have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor AEK Larnaca slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Beitar Jerusalem to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

AEK Larnaca

30%

Draws

34%

Beitar Jerusalem

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Beitar Jerusalem lately — more wins on the board than AEK Larnaca.
Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 36%.
Beitar Jerusalem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 20%

Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AEK Larnaca	Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	13	19
Draws	7	10
Losses	9	3
Goals Scored	1.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2021 Club Friendly

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 36 / 100

Beitar Jerusalem 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AEK Larnaca Beitar Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: AEK Larnaca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Beitar Jerusalem

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)

16 Jul

Apollon Limassol

0 : 0

AEK Larnaca

10 Jul

Ajax

1 : 0

AEK Larnaca

07 Jul

PAOK

3 : 2

AEK Larnaca

04 Jul

Helmond Sport

1 : 2

AEK Larnaca

22 May

Aris Limassol

3 : 4

AEK Larnaca

Page 1 of 6

Beitar Jerusalem

(Away)

09 Jul

Beitar Jerusalem

1 : 0

Dukagjini

07 Jul

Arda

0 : 0

Beitar Jerusalem

03 Jul

Botev Vratsa

2 : 2

Beitar Jerusalem

23 May

Beitar Jerusalem

1 : 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv

19 May

Hapoel Petah Tikva

0 : 0

Beitar Jerusalem

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

IFK Goteborg-

Levadia-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

BATE-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians-

FC Ballkani-

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

Basaksehir-

Inter Turku-

HJK-

Coleraine-

RFS-

Vestri-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

Din. Minsk-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

Bissen-

Gyor-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

Floriana-

Drita-

Vardar-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem

Europe

AEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem

Tournament Bracket & Draw