Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Amyn Y.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Saborit E.
83' Event
Chacon Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AEK Larnaca and Karmiotissa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AEK Larnaca
20%
Draws
29%
Karmiotissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca haven't matched Karmiotissa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK Larnaca have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 19%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Karmiotissa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca
0:3
Nov 25, 2024 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa
2:0
Jan 26, 2024 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca
1:3
Oct 21, 2023 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Saborit E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chacon Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Karmiotissa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 85 / 100
Karmiotissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Karmiotissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

AEK Larnaca's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Karmiotissa conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: AEK Larnaca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Karmiotissa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
21 Aug
AEK Larnaca
5 : 2
Omonia 29th May
12 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1
AEK Larnaca
08 Aug
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
07 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Karmiotissa
Page 1 of 6

Karmiotissa

(Away)
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
07 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Karmiotissa
25 Jul
Omonia Aradippou
3 : 4
Karmiotissa
24 Apr
PAEEK
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
Page 1 of 6