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Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

1 - 0
FT
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Postel S.
27'
Bolanos M.
28'
Rodriguez Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cuenca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dep. Cuenca
30%
Draws
41%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guayaquil City lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cuenca.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Cuenca taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dep. Cuenca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 16%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Guayaquil City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.68 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Dep. Cuenca
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Dep. Cuenca
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Benalcazar C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guayaquil City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 41 / 100
Guayaquil City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Guayaquil City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dep. Cuenca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Cuenca's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Guayaquil City
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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Guayaquil City

(Away)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
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