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AEK Larnaca vs Nea Salamis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AEK Larnaca and Nea Salamis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AEK Larnaca
15%
Draws
28%
Nea Salamis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca haven't matched Nea Salamis's recent run of results.
  • AEK Larnaca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AEK Larnaca here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Nea Salamis
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.65 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK Larnaca vs Nea Salamis
2:1
Sep 6, 2026 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca
1:4
Jan 12, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Nea Salamis
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca
1:3
Jan 12, 2024 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 47 / 100
Nea Salamis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Nea Salamis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nea Salamis has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

AEK Larnaca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Nea Salamis
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
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Nea Salamis

(Away)
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
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