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AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League AEK Arena, Larnaca
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca host Omonia Aradippou in the Cyprus League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Omonia Aradippou have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while AEK Larnaca have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor Omonia Aradippou slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.32, favoring Omonia Aradippou. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AEK Larnaca
35%
Draws
24%
Omonia Aradippou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AEK Larnaca at 1.59 per game, Omonia Aradippou at 1.38.
  • Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 18%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Aradippou
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 85 / 100
Omonia Aradippou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Omonia Aradippou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Omonia Aradippou conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

AEK Larnaca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Omonia Aradippou
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
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Omonia Aradippou

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
05 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Krasava
31 Aug
Omonia
0 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
22 Aug
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 0
Krasava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)