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AEK Larnaca vs Omonia

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League AEK Arena, Larnaca
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca host Omonia in the Cyprus League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: AEK Larnaca at 1.53 goals for, 1.17 against; Omonia at 1.8 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor Omonia slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back Omonia to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AEK Larnaca
15%
Draws
39%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca haven't matched Omonia's recent run of results.
  • AEK Larnaca are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 17%
Omonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.53 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
0:2
Jan 14, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Dec 15, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 41 / 100
Omonia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AEK Larnaca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Omonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Omonia
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
21 Aug
AEK Larnaca
5 : 2
Omonia 29th May
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Omonia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)