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AEK Larnaca vs Omonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League AEK Arena, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Chacon Y.
36'
Duverne J.
39'
Sub
Nego L. In: Viktoros G.
Out: Nego L.

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
AEK Larnaca
20%
Draws
28%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca haven't matched Omonia's recent run of results.
  • AEK Larnaca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%
Omonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 16 21
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
2:0
May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
0:2
Jan 14, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Dec 15, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajic R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Layouni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Omonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 86 / 100
Omonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: AEK Larnaca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AEK Larnaca scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Omonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Omonia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
26 Oct
AEK Larnaca
2 : 0
Omonia
21 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 2
Akritas Chloraka
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
12 Oct
AEK Larnaca
1 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 7

Omonia

(Away)
26 Oct
AEK Larnaca
2 : 0
Omonia
22 Oct
Omonia
1 : 4
Benfica
19 Oct
Omonia
2 : 2
Ol. Nicosia
15 Oct
Celje
0 : 3
Omonia
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Apollon Limassol 8 4 4 0 21:10 16
3 Omonia 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
4 Aris Limassol 8 4 3 1 12:10 15
5 AEL Limassol 8 5 0 3 11:13 15
6 APOEL 8 4 2 2 18:10 14
7 Pafos 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
8 Omonia 29th May 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
9 Karmiotissa 8 1 3 4 5:16 6
10 Anorthosis 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
12 Ol. Nicosia 8 0 6 2 11:13 6
13 Nea Salamis 8 1 2 5 11:16 5
14 Krasava 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)