Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK vs LASK Linz

Europe Europe

Champions League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nikolic M.
21' Event
Marin R.
40'
Jovic L.

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
AEK
15%
Draws
41%
LASK Linz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LASK Linz lately — more wins on the board than AEK.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on LASK Linz taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AEK Clean Sheet 13%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK LASK Linz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 20
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.96 2.76
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Champions League
AEK vs LASK Linz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

LASK Linz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 27 / 100
LASK Linz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK LASK Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LASK Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: AEK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

LASK Linz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS LASK Linz
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
02 Sept
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
AEK
30 Aug
Kifisia
1 : 1
AEK
26 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

LASK Linz

(Away)
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
1 : 6
LASK Linz
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 3
LASK Linz
29 Aug
LASK Linz
3 : 0
Altach
25 Aug
LASK Linz
5 : 1
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)