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AEK vs LASK Linz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nikolic M.
21' Event
Marin R.
40'
Jovic L.

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
AEK
15%
Draws
68%
LASK Linz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LASK Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LASK Linz lately — more wins on the board than AEK.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on LASK Linz taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AEK Clean Sheet 10%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK LASK Linz
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 1
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.22 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Champions League
AEK vs LASK Linz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

LASK Linz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 14 / 100
LASK Linz 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK LASK Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LASK Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

LASK Linz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

AEK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS LASK Linz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
01 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 0
AEK
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
Page 1 of 6

LASK Linz

(Away)
03 Nov
LASK Linz
4 : 0
Slovan Bratislava
31 Oct
LASK Linz
2 : 1
Tirol
28 Oct
LASK Linz
5 : 4
Ried
25 Oct
LASK Linz
1 : 3
Salzburg
21 Oct
Sporting CP
2 : 3
LASK Linz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 4 4 0 0 20:5 12
2 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Aston Villa 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
4 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 12:7 9
5 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
6 Sporting CP 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
7 Betis 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
8 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
9 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
10 VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
11 Como 3 2 0 1 10:5 6
12 Manchester City 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
13 Club Brugge 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
14 Inter 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
15 LASK Linz 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
16 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
17 Manchester United 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
18 Galatasaray 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
19 AS Roma 4 1 1 2 10:8 4
20 Shakhtar 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
21 PSV 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
22 Atl. Madrid 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
23 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
24 Napoli 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
25 Sabah FC 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
26 Lens 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
27 AEK 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
28 RB Leipzig 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
29 Villarreal 4 1 0 3 8:14 3
30 Feyenoord 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
31 Fenerbahce 3 0 2 1 3:9 2
32 Slavia Prague 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
33 Viking 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
34 Lille 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
35 FC Porto 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)