Sport Picks
AEK vs Levski Sofia
Europe
Champions League Allwyn Arena, Athens 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: AEK at 1.79 goals for, 0.82 against; Levski Sofia at 1.79 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, AEK have won 0 to Levski Sofia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Levski Sofia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levski Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Levski Sofia lately — more wins on the board than AEK.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on AEK taking it.
- Levski Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 15%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEK | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Champions League
Levski Sofia vs AEK
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEK 39 / 100
Levski Sofia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEK Levski Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AEK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
AEK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Levski Sofia let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
AEK VS Levski Sofia
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AEK
(Home) 18 Aug
Levski Sofia
0 : 0 AEK
12 Aug
AEK
2 : 3 OFI Crete
08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Athens Kallithea
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0 St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2 Samsunspor
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12 Aug
AEK
2 : 3 OFI Crete
08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Athens Kallithea
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0 St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2 Samsunspor
17 May
AEK
1 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
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Levski Sofia
(Away) 18 Aug
Levski Sofia
0 : 0 AEK
11 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1 Levski Sofia
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0 Septemvri Sofia
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11 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1 Levski Sofia
29 Jul
Univ. Craiova
2 : 2 Levski Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Levski Sofia
07 Jul
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 1 Levski Sofia
25 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia
0 : 0 Levski Sofia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia -
AEK -
Celtic -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb -
Viking -
Slovan Bratislava -
Celje -
H. Beer Sheva -
Sabah Baku -
Fenerbahce -
Lyon -
Nijmegen -
Bodo/Glimt -
