Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Odubajo M. In: Rota L.
Out: Odubajo M.
14'
14'
Kostoulas K.
19'
19'
Pereyra R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with AEK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- AEK carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans AEK's way, sitting at 90%.
- AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- AEK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEK | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEK
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEK
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEK Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereyra R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Joao Mario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
OFI Crete Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEK 95 / 100
OFI Crete 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEK OFI Crete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AEK's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
OFI Crete let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
AEK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AEK VS OFI Crete
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
AEK
(Home) 08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Athens Kallithea
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0 St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2 Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3 AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2 AEK
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Athens Kallithea
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0 St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2 Samsunspor
17 May
AEK
1 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
10 May
AEK
2 : 1 Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 3
OFI Crete
(Away) 01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1 OFI Crete
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2 OFI Crete
25 Jul
G.A. Eagles
4 : 0 OFI Crete
17 May
OFI Crete
3 : 1 Volos
13 May
Levadiakos
3 : 2 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1 OFI Crete
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2 OFI Crete
25 Jul
G.A. Eagles
4 : 0 OFI Crete
13 May
Levadiakos
3 : 2 OFI Crete
10 May
Aris
3 : 1 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Levadiakos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Volos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 8 | PAOK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Iraklis FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Athens Kallithea | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Ellas Syrou | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 3 |
| 16 | AEL Larissa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 17 | Kavala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Marko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 19 | Ilioupoli | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 20 | PAE Egaleo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
