Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Costa L.
45'
Ignacio
46'
Sub
Castillo R. In: Canobbio A.
Out: Castillo R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fluminense
30%
Draws
23%
Ind. Rivadavia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Rivadavia come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ind. Rivadavia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ind. Rivadavia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
0:0
May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:1
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 42 / 100
Ind. Rivadavia 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ind. Rivadavia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Ind. Rivadavia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
18 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Fluminense
15 Aug
Fluminense
3 : 2
Palmeiras
11 Aug
Fluminense
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
09 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Fluminense
06 Aug
Fluminense
1 : 3
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)
18 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Fluminense
15 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
2 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
11 Aug
Fluminense
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
08 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
03 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 0
Independiente del Valle 1
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Corinthians -
TBD -
Flamengo RJ -
LDU Quito -
Palmeiras -
Platense -
Fluminense -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -