Sport Picks
Tigres UANL vs Toluca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza 
AI Match Summary
Tigres UANL host Toluca in the Liga MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tigres UANL have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.12 conceded recently, against Toluca's 1.89 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Tigres UANL have won 2 to Toluca's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.56) point toward Toluca. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tigres UANL haven't matched Toluca's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigres UANL | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 36 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigres UANL's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Toluca let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tigres UANL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tigres UANL
(Home)Toluca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
