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AEK vs OFI Crete Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEK host OFI Crete in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. AEK have averaged 2.16 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against OFI Crete's 1.63 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor AEK slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.00, favoring AEK. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AEK
20%
Draws
40%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AEK have won more games recently than OFI Crete.
  • Model gives AEK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK OFI Crete
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.16 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Super Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:3
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEK
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 95 / 100
OFI Crete 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

AEK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: OFI Crete conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS OFI Crete
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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OFI Crete

(Away)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)