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AEK vs Panetolikos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEK host Panetolikos in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AEK have averaged 2.18 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Panetolikos's 1.06 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, AEK have won 4 to Panetolikos's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2025, ending 0:5. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 0.94) point toward AEK. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AEK
15%
Draws
35%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Panetolikos.
  • Model gives AEK a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Panetolikos
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.18 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEK
0:5
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panetolikos
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
AEK vs Panetolikos
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panetolikos
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEK
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 85 / 100
Panetolikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Panetolikos let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

AEK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Panetolikos
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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Panetolikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)