Sport Picks
AEK vs Panserraikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Greek Cup Allwyn Arena, Athens 
Match Events
9'
9'
Alexiou C.
Assist: Mantalos P.
33'
33'
Varga B.
Assist: Mantalos P.
35'
35'
Joao Mario
Assist: Mantalos P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 8-1. The second leg ended 8-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panserraikos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Panserraikos haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
- Model gives AEK a 42% chance of winning this.
- AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AEK Clean Sheet 15%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEK | Panserraikos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Greek Cup
AEK vs Panserraikos
8:1
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs AEK
0:4
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panserraikos
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panserraikos
5:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super League
Panserraikos vs AEK
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEK Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexiou C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Varga B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Panserraikos Compare
Top Goalscorer Iliadis T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEK 41 / 100
Panserraikos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEK Panserraikos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AEK scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Panserraikos has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
AEK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AEK VS Panserraikos
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AEK
(Home) 04 Nov
AEK
2 : 3 Real Madrid
01 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 AEK
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1 AEK
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0 Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1 AEK
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
AEK
2 : 3 Real Madrid
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0 Panetolikos
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0 OFI Crete
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1 Panserraikos
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0 LASK Linz
Page 1 of 3
Panserraikos
(Away) 01 Nov
Panionios
5 : 0 Panserraikos
27 Oct
Panserraikos
0 : 1 Niki Volos
24 Oct
Panserraikos
3 : 2 Ellas Syrou
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0 Panserraikos
10 Oct
Panserraikos
2 : 1 Chrisoupolis
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Panionios
5 : 0 Panserraikos
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0 Panserraikos
03 Oct
Panthrakikos
1 : 1 Panserraikos
20 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1 Panserraikos
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1 Panserraikos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 3 | PAOK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Atromitos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 7 | OFI Crete | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Aris | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 11 | AEL Larissa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 12 | Niki Volos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 13 | Volos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 14 | Marko | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 15 | Chrisoupolis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Panserraikos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
