Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Alexiou C.
Assist: Mantalos P.
33'
33'
Varga B.
Assist: Mantalos P.
35'
35'
Joao Mario
Assist: Mantalos P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 8-1. The second leg ended 8-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Panserraikos haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
- Model gives AEK a 58% chance of winning this.
- AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEK | Panserraikos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.12 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Greek Cup
AEK vs Panserraikos
8:1
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs AEK
0:4
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panserraikos
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panserraikos
5:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super League
Panserraikos vs AEK
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEK Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexiou C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Varga B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 1.06
Panserraikos Compare
Top Goalscorer Iliadis T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEK 85 / 100
Panserraikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEK Panserraikos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AEK scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
AEK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Panserraikos let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
AEK VS Panserraikos
2.38 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
AEK
(Home) 17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1 Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0 LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0 Aris
02 Sept
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2 AEK
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1 Panserraikos
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0 LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0 Aris
26 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Levski Sofia
22 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 4
Panserraikos
(Away) 17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1 Panserraikos
13 Sept
Panserraikos
1 : 0 Asteras Tripolis B
07 Sept
Marko
1 : 0 Panserraikos
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1 Atromitos
19 Aug
Panserraikos
2 : 1 Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1 Panserraikos
07 Sept
Marko
1 : 0 Panserraikos
08 Aug
Aris
2 : 2 Panserraikos
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0 Panserraikos
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0 Panserraikos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aris | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | PAOK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 10 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 11 | Marko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 12 | Kifisia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Niki Volos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Panserraikos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
