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AEK vs PAOK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEK host PAOK in the Super League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. PAOK have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while AEK have conceded 1.09 and scored 2.21. Past meetings favor PAOK slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.81) point toward AEK. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
AEK
15%
Draws
64%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • PAOK haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans PAOK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AEK Clean Sheet 11%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK PAOK
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs AEK
3:1
May 13, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs AEK
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Super League
AEK vs PAOK
3:0
Feb 15, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs AEK
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
AEK vs PAOK
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 18 / 100
PAOK 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: PAOK conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

AEK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS PAOK
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
04 Nov
AEK
2 : 3
Real Madrid
01 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 0
AEK
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
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PAOK

(Away)
01 Nov
PAOK
2 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
25 Oct
OFI Crete
2 : 1
PAOK
18 Oct
PAOK
2 : 1
Iraklis FC
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 9 8 0 1 20:4 24
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
3 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
4 PAOK 9 6 0 3 18:12 18
5 AEK 8 5 2 1 21:5 17
6 OFI Crete 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
9 Iraklis FC 9 2 4 3 10:12 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Levadiakos 9 1 3 5 3:11 6
12 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
13 Atromitos 8 1 2 5 9:12 5
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)