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AEK vs Samsunspor

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Eliasson N.
44' Event
Tavsan E.
80' Event
Jarju S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AEK and Samsunspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samsunspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
AEK
15%
Draws
16%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AEK come out ahead of Samsunspor on wins alone.
  • AEK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Samsunspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.32 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK vs Samsunspor
1:2
Dec 11, 2025 Conference League
Samsunspor vs AEK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliasson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Samsunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavsan E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarju S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 85 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: AEK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Samsunspor conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Samsunspor
2.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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Samsunspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2
Samsunspor
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