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AEK vs Samsunspor

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Eliasson N.
44' Event
Tavsan E.
45'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AEK and Samsunspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samsunspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AEK
22%
Draws
18%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AEK come out ahead of Samsunspor on wins alone.
  • AEK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Samsunspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK vs Samsunspor
1:2
Dec 11, 2025 Conference League
Samsunspor vs AEK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliasson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Samsunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavsan E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarju S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 58 / 100
Samsunspor 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: AEK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AEK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samsunspor conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Samsunspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
17 May
AEK
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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Samsunspor

(Away)
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0
Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0
Goztepe
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0
Samsunspor
02 May
Samsunspor
4 : 1
Galatasaray
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