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AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEL Larissa host Asteras Tripolis B in the Super League 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: AEL Larissa at 1.17 goals for, 1.17 against; Asteras Tripolis B at 1.07 for, 1.14 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.13 - 0.81) back Asteras Tripolis B to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AEL Larissa
35%
Draws
30%
Asteras Tripolis B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis B have won more games recently than AEL Larissa.
  • AEL Larissa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 20%
Asteras Tripolis B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa Asteras Tripolis B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 36 / 100
Asteras Tripolis B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa Asteras Tripolis B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AEL Larissa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Asteras Tripolis B has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: AEL Larissa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS Asteras Tripolis B
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
01 Nov
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus B
28 Oct
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
OFI Crete
24 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0
Panserraikos
11 Oct
Marko
1 : 0
AEL Larissa
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Asteras Tripolis B

(Away)
01 Nov
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 1
Pyrgos
25 Oct
Panthrakikos
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis B
17 Oct
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 1
Zakynthos
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus B
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis B
04 Oct
Asteras Tripolis B
2 : 0
Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Panionios 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
3 Athens Kallithea 9 5 2 2 10:6 17
4 AEL Larissa 9 4 4 1 12:6 16
5 Niki Volos 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
6 Ellas Syrou 9 3 4 2 12:7 13
7 Panthrakikos 9 3 4 2 12:9 13
8 Karditsa 9 3 2 4 7:9 11
9 Panserraikos 9 4 2 3 12:13 10
10 Asteras Tripolis B 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
11 Pyrgos 9 2 3 4 6:10 9
12 PAOK B 9 2 3 4 6:11 9
13 Apollon Kalamaria 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
14 Chrisoupolis 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
15 Olympiacos Piraeus B 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
16 Zakynthos 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
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