Sport Picks
AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis
Greece
Super League 2025/2026 AEL FC Arena, Larissa 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Asteras Tripolis have won more games recently than AEL Larissa.
- 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEL Larissa | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEL Larissa Compare
Asteras Tripolis Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AEL Larissa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Asteras Tripolis has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: AEL Larissa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AEL Larissa
(Home)Asteras Tripolis
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atromitos | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 40:51 | 41 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36:49 | 36 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35:51 | 36 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 36 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 34:56 | 30 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25:73 | 29 |
