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AEL Larissa vs Karditsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
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Match Events

50' Event
Ndiaye I.
61' Event
Kampetsis A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AEL Larissa
20%
Draws
42%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karditsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Karditsa have won more games recently than AEL Larissa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on AEL Larissa taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 20%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa Karditsa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Karditsa
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Karditsa
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Super League 2
Karditsa vs AEL Larissa
0:2
Jun 10, 2023 Super League 2
Karditsa vs AEL Larissa
2:2
Mar 11, 2023 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Karditsa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kampetsis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karditsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 36 / 100
Karditsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Larissa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

AEL Larissa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karditsa has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS Karditsa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
01 Nov
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus B
28 Oct
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
OFI Crete
24 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0
Panserraikos
11 Oct
Marko
1 : 0
AEL Larissa
Page 1 of 6

Karditsa

(Away)
31 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 1
Karditsa
25 Oct
Karditsa
1 : 0
PAOK B
18 Oct
Pyrgos
0 : 1
Karditsa
12 Oct
Karditsa
3 : 0
Zakynthos
04 Oct
Asteras Tripolis B
2 : 0
Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Panionios 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
3 Athens Kallithea 9 5 2 2 10:6 17
4 AEL Larissa 9 4 4 1 12:6 16
5 Niki Volos 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
6 Ellas Syrou 9 3 4 2 12:7 13
7 Panthrakikos 9 3 4 2 12:9 13
8 Karditsa 9 3 2 4 7:9 11
9 Panserraikos 9 4 2 3 12:13 10
10 Asteras Tripolis B 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
11 Pyrgos 9 2 3 4 6:10 9
12 PAOK B 9 2 3 4 6:11 9
13 Apollon Kalamaria 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
14 Chrisoupolis 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
15 Olympiacos Piraeus B 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
16 Zakynthos 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
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