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AEL Larissa vs Karditsa

Greece Greece

Super League 2 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
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Match Events

50' Event
Ndiaye I.
61' Event
Kampetsis A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
AEL Larissa
35%
Draws
13%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Karditsa have won more games recently than AEL Larissa.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on AEL Larissa taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa Karditsa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Karditsa
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Karditsa
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Super League 2
Karditsa vs AEL Larissa
0:2
Jun 10, 2023 Super League 2
Karditsa vs AEL Larissa
2:2
Mar 11, 2023 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Karditsa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kampetsis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Karditsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 95 / 100
Karditsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Larissa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

AEL Larissa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Karditsa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS Karditsa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4
Olympiacos Piraeus
17 Aug
Athens Kallithea
1 : 3
AEL Larissa
11 Aug
AO Trikala
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
06 Aug
AEL Larissa
0 : 0
Zakynthos
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Karditsa

(Away)
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2
Aris
22 Mar
Iraklis FC
3 : 1
Karditsa
14 Mar
Karditsa
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis B
08 Mar
Niki Volos
1 : 0
Karditsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Ellas Syrou 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 AEL Larissa 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Chrisoupolis 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Olympiacos Piraeus B 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Panionios 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Athens Kallithea 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Panserraikos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Panthrakikos 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Pyrgos 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
11 Apollon Kalamaria 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 PAOK B 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Zakynthos 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Karditsa 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
15 Niki Volos 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
16 Asteras Tripolis B 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)