Sport Picks
AEL Limassol vs Nea Salamis
Cyprus
Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi 
Match Events
22'
22'
Konate B.
34'
34'
Tavares J.
43'
43'
Fernandes da Conceicao S. E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
AEL Limassol in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEL Limassol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEL Limassol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nea Salamis lately — more wins on the board than AEL Limassol.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEL Limassol | Nea Salamis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Nea Salamis
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs AEL Limassol
1:3
Jan 24, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Nea Salamis
0:0
Oct 21, 2024 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs AEL Limassol
0:2
Aug 11, 2024 Club Friendly
Nea Salamis vs AEL Limassol
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEL Limassol Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribeiro Gomes D. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Nea Salamis Compare
Top Goalscorer Grandsir S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEL Limassol 30 / 100
Nea Salamis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEL Limassol Nea Salamis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AEL Limassol scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Nea Salamis let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
AEL Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AEL Limassol VS Nea Salamis
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AEL Limassol
(Home) 18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2 AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0 AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0 Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2 Aris Limassol
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0 Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2 Aris Limassol
06 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 1 Atromitos
09 May
AEL Limassol
1 : 3 Ol. Nicosia
Page 1 of 3
Nea Salamis
(Away) 27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0 Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4 AEK Larnaca
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3 Nea Salamis
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3 Nea Salamis
08 Aug
Paralimni
0 : 1 Nea Salamis
27 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 1 Nea Salamis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AEL Limassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Omonia 29th May | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | APOEL | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Ol. Nicosia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 4 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)
