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AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sawo Z.
10'
Maseko T.
11' Event
Pikis I.

AI Match Summary

Ol. Nicosia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ol. Nicosia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AEL Limassol
35%
Draws
22%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEL Limassol lately — more wins on the board than Ol. Nicosia.
  • AEL Limassol are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Limassol Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEL Limassol
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEL Limassol
1:1
Apr 26, 2023 Cyprus Cup
AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawo Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ol. Nicosia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pikis I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Limassol 68 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Limassol Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Limassol scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Ol. Nicosia let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

AEL Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Limassol VS Ol. Nicosia
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Limassol

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
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Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Anorthosis 33 11 12 10 35:40 45
8 AEL Limassol 33 13 5 15 41:46 44
9 Omonia Aradippou 33 12 6 15 31:42 42
10 Krasava 33 11 7 15 36:44 40
11 Ol. Nicosia 33 10 10 13 32:44 40
12 Akritas Chloraka 33 10 5 18 31:58 35
13 Achnas 33 10 3 20 34:53 33
14 Paralimni 33 1 2 30 11:80 5
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)