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AEL Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
AEL Limassol Logo

AEL Limassol

1 - 2
FT
Omonia Aradippou Logo

Omonia Aradippou

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Polykarpou P. In: Mouaddib J.
Out: Polykarpou P.
24' Event
Pontikos G.
31'
Mouaddib J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Omonia Aradippou in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia Aradippou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AEL Limassol
35%
Draws
27%
Omonia Aradippou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEL Limassol lately — more wins on the board than Omonia Aradippou.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Limassol Omonia Aradippou
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Forestieri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Omonia Aradippou Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontikos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Georgiou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Limassol 41 / 100
Omonia Aradippou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Limassol Omonia Aradippou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Limassol scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Omonia Aradippou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: AEL Limassol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Limassol VS Omonia Aradippou
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Limassol

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
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Omonia Aradippou

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
05 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Krasava
31 Aug
Omonia
0 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
22 Aug
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 0
Krasava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 26 19 4 3 63:17 61
2 AEK Larnaca 26 16 5 5 49:22 53
3 Apollon Limassol 26 16 5 5 36:22 53
4 Pafos 26 16 3 7 53:24 51
5 APOEL 26 13 6 7 45:27 45
6 Aris Limassol 26 12 7 7 48:26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou 26 10 4 12 23:31 34
8 AEL Limassol 26 10 3 13 31:38 33
9 Anorthosis 26 7 11 8 23:33 32
10 Krasava 26 8 4 14 26:36 28
11 Ol. Nicosia 26 6 10 10 22:37 28
12 Akritas Chloraka 26 7 5 14 23:48 26
13 Achnas 26 7 2 17 25:44 23
14 Paralimni 26 0 1 25 5:67 1
Promotion - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)