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AEP Kozanis vs Ethnikos Neou Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEP Kozanis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEP Kozanis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
AEP Kozanis
15%
Draws
32%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEP Kozanis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethnikos Neou lately — more wins on the board than AEP Kozanis.
  • Win probability leans AEP Kozanis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AEP Kozanis Clean Sheet 10%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEP Kozanis Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 23
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
AEP Kozanis vs Ethnikos Neou
1:0
Dec 11, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs AEP Kozanis
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEP Kozanis 83 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEP Kozanis Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEP Kozanis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

AEP Kozanis scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ethnikos Neou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

AEP Kozanis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ethnikos Neou
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

AEP Kozanis

(Home)
30 Apr
Chaniotis
3 : 2
AEP Kozanis
23 Apr
AEP Kozanis
1 : 1
Kastoria
12 Apr
Agias
0 : 6
AEP Kozanis
08 Apr
AEP Kozanis
3 : 0
Edessaikos
02 Apr
Elassona
2 : 3
AEP Kozanis
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kozani FC 26 16 9 1 53:16 57
2 Ethnikos Neou 26 11 9 6 35:25 42
3 Keravnos Anchelochori 26 12 6 8 47:25 42
4 Chaniotis 26 11 8 7 40:34 41
5 Pierikos 26 11 6 9 34:27 39
6 Svoronos FC 26 10 9 7 31:29 39
7 PAOK Kristonis 26 10 7 9 26:36 37
8 Kastoria 26 9 9 8 23:23 36
9 AEP Kozanis 26 10 5 11 40:39 35
10 Elassona 26 5 14 7 19:23 29
11 Edessaikos 26 7 7 12 25:35 28
12 Makedonikos Foufas 26 7 6 13 22:36 27
13 O. Volos 26 6 7 13 16:26 25
14 Agias 26 5 2 19 14:51 17
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)