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Aerostar vs Cetatea Suceava Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aerostar in this Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aerostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aerostar
30%
Draws
28%
Cetatea Suceava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cetatea Suceava lately — more wins on the board than Aerostar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cetatea Suceava have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 16%
Cetatea Suceava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar Cetatea Suceava
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Cetatea Suceava
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Cetatea Suceava vs Aerostar
5:1
Mar 11, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Cetatea Suceava
1:3
Sep 7, 2007 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Cetatea Suceava vs Aerostar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 36 / 100
Cetatea Suceava 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar Cetatea Suceava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cetatea Suceava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Aerostar found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Cetatea Suceava conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Aerostar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aerostar VS Cetatea Suceava
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aerostar

(Home)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
04 Sept
Aerostar
2 : 1
VSK Gyergyo
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Cetatea Suceava

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
12 Sept
Cetatea Suceava
4 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
05 Sept
Steaua Bucuresti
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
29 Aug
Cetatea Suceava
1 : 1
Popesti Leordeni
22 Aug
Stefanesti
3 : 1
Cetatea Suceava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Soimii Gura Humorului 22 17 2 3 55:12 53
2 Cetatea Suceava 22 15 2 5 58:24 47
3 Viitorul Onesti 22 10 6 6 34:22 36
4 Stiinta Miroslava 22 11 3 8 30:33 36
5 CSM Vaslui 22 8 6 8 29:28 30
6 Odorheiu 22 8 6 8 33:35 30
7 Bucovina Radauti 22 8 5 9 29:27 29
8 ACS USV Iasi 22 8 4 10 28:46 28
9 Aerostar 22 7 4 11 26:43 25
10 VSK Gyergyo 22 7 3 12 29:43 24
11 Adjud 22 5 6 11 14:24 21
12 FC Bacau 2 22 3 3 16 27:55 12
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)