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Aerostar vs Dinamo Bacau Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 2 2022/2023 game between Aerostar and Dinamo Bacau finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aerostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Aerostar
15%
Draws
37%
Dinamo Bacau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aerostar come out ahead of Dinamo Bacau on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aerostar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 68%
Dinamo Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar Dinamo Bacau
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.62 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Aerostar vs Dinamo Bacau
5:1
Sep 18, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Dinamo Bacau vs Aerostar
0:1
Aug 31, 2022 Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bacau vs Aerostar
3:4
Mar 26, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Dinamo Bacau vs Aerostar
1:1
Oct 22, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Aerostar vs Dinamo Bacau
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 41 / 100
Dinamo Bacau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar Dinamo Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Bacau has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aerostar's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Aerostar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aerostar VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aerostar

(Home)
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
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Dinamo Bacau

(Away)
27 May
Sporting Liesti
2 : 4
Dinamo Bacau
19 May
Dinamo Bacau
0 : 2
CSM Focsani
13 May
Vointa Limpezis
1 : 1
Dinamo Bacau
05 May
Dinamo Bacau
9 : 2
Braila
02 May
Dinamo Bacau
3 : 5
Viitorul Ianca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 18 14 3 1 39:7 45
2 Metalul Buzau 18 13 2 3 46:10 41
3 Unirea Branistea 18 12 1 5 29:15 37
4 Aerostar 18 10 4 4 50:21 34
5 CSM Focsani 18 9 4 5 40:17 31
6 Sporting Liesti 18 8 3 7 34:28 27
7 Viitorul Ianca 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
8 Dinamo Bacau 18 5 1 12 29:42 16
9 Vointa Limpezis 18 1 2 15 20:65 5
10 Braila 18 0 2 16 8:75 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)