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Aerostar vs FC Bacau 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aerostar host FC Bacau 2 in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Aerostar have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against FC Bacau 2's 1.52 scored and 2.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Aerostar have won 3 to FC Bacau 2's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Aerostar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aerostar
20%
Draws
29%
FC Bacau 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aerostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aerostar a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 17%
FC Bacau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar FC Bacau 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau 2 vs Aerostar
3:2
Feb 27, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs FC Bacau 2
0:3
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau 2 vs Aerostar
0:2
Apr 7, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau 2 vs Aerostar
0:3
Sep 26, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs FC Bacau 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 84 / 100
FC Bacau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar FC Bacau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bacau 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Aerostar found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aerostar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aerostar VS FC Bacau 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aerostar

(Home)
16 Oct
Aerostar
1 : 1
Viitorul Onesti
10 Oct
Targu Secuiesc
3 : 0
Aerostar
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
Page 1 of 6

FC Bacau 2

(Away)
17 Oct
Bradul Putna
3 : 1
FC Bacau 2
09 Oct
FC Bacau 2
2 : 4
CSM Vaslui
03 Oct
VSK Gyergyo
1 : 1
FC Bacau 2
26 Sept
FC Bacau 2
0 : 6
Adjud
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 9 8 1 0 23:9 25
2 Adjud 9 5 2 2 19:10 17
3 Targu Secuiesc 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
4 ACS USV Iasi 9 5 2 2 12:8 17
5 Bradul Putna 9 5 1 3 22:14 16
6 Odorheiu 9 3 5 1 14:11 14
7 Aerostar 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
8 FC Bacau 2 9 3 2 4 12:20 11
9 VSK Gyergyo 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
10 Viitorul Onesti 9 1 2 6 13:17 5
11 Ceahlaul 9 0 4 5 5:19 4
12 CSM Pascani 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)