Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1

FC Bacau 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aerostar play FC Bacau 2 in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aerostar averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. FC Bacau 2 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, Aerostar won 1, FC Bacau 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Aerostar and 2.00 for FC Bacau 2. This points to a Aerostar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Aerostar

15%

Draws

31%

FC Bacau 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Aerostar picked up more points recently compared to FC Bacau 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Aerostar Clean Sheet 10%

FC Bacau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aerostar	FC Bacau 2
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	5
Draws	5	3
Losses	15	21
Goals Scored	1.37	1.31
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1

FC Bacau 2 vs Aerostar

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Feb 27, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1

Aerostar vs FC Bacau 2

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Oct 3, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1

FC Bacau 2 vs Aerostar

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 51 / 100

FC Bacau 2 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aerostar FC Bacau 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (1)

Secondary Pick Aerostar & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aerostar attacking → ← attacking FC Bacau 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aerostar scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

FC Bacau 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Aerostar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Bacau 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 18

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Soimii Gura Humorului	22	17	2	3	55:12	53
2	Cetatea Suceava	22	15	2	5	58:24	47
3	Viitorul Onesti	22	10	6	6	34:22	36
4	Stiinta Miroslava	22	11	3	8	30:33	36
5	CSM Vaslui	22	8	6	8	29:28	30
6	Odorheiu	22	8	6	8	33:35	30
7	Bucovina Radauti	22	8	5	9	29:27	29
8	ACS USV Iasi	22	8	4	10	28:46	28
9	Aerostar	22	7	4	11	26:43	25
10	VSK Gyergyo	22	7	3	12	29:43	24
11	Adjud	22	5	6	11	14:24	21
12	FC Bacau 2	22	3	3	16	27:55	12